Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.419259 0.464526 0.513228 0.569619 0.633235 0.702916 0.785204
2025-05-04 0.347987 0.410415 0.482561 0.572517 0.682248 0.812477 0.979809
2025-05-11 0.308385 0.378428 0.463165 0.574032 0.716441 0.894808 1.137619
2025-05-18 0.281303 0.356615 0.451233 0.580107 0.753026 0.979815 1.304404
2025-05-25 0.252723 0.329018 0.427890 0.567121 0.760883 1.025106 1.419839
2025-06-01 0.236543 0.315594 0.421019 0.574168 0.794752 1.106893 1.592821
2025-06-08 0.218992 0.298466 0.407140 0.569383 0.810287 1.162642 1.731946
2025-06-15 0.206767 0.287506 0.400548 0.573753 0.838541 1.238384 1.908235
2025-06-22 0.192124 0.271849 0.385802 0.564439 0.844671 1.280058 2.033619
2025-06-29 0.179807 0.258604 0.373430 0.557353 0.853026 1.325055 2.168064
2025-07-06 0.164573 0.239966 0.351640 0.533815 0.832853 1.321518 2.218234
2025-07-13 0.158450 0.234646 0.349616 0.541104 0.863027 1.403393 2.426652
2025-07-20 0.152416 0.229247 0.347348 0.548229 0.894242 1.491219 2.658959
2025-07-27 0.146407 0.223506 0.344153 0.553565 0.922866 1.577337 2.899087
2025-08-03 0.140049 0.216754 0.338780 0.554618 0.943724 1.650915 3.123062
2025-08-10 0.135168 0.212062 0.336408 0.560522 0.973568 1.743620 3.396756
2025-08-17 0.127227 0.201843 0.324144 0.548027 0.968286 1.768633 3.531930
2025-08-24 0.123361 0.198196 0.322742 0.554804 0.999650 1.867787 3.838699
2025-08-31 0.117820 0.191379 0.315441 0.550203 1.008590 1.922681 4.054057
2025-09-07 0.114122 0.187508 0.313015 0.554405 1.034999 2.015611 4.368322
2025-09-14 0.108601 0.180162 0.303991 0.545450 1.034188 2.051119 4.551529
2025-09-21 0.103776 0.173795 0.296364 0.538636 1.037129 2.094796 4.760150
2025-09-28 0.096949 0.163536 0.281130 0.516000 1.005383 2.059463 4.766940